Sun Belt · 2026
App State
1–0
#95
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-6.8#95
Offense
+26.1#75
Defense
+33.0#103
National Composite
-4.4#89
EPi+ Efficiency
-11.2#113
TPi+ Talent
-5.5#81
Head Coach
-16.9#127
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+13.4#18
Off EPi+
+5.7#33
Def EPi+
-7.7#20
Off Success
55.6%#28
Def Success
20.8%#21
Havoc Created
21.3%#39
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 55.6% | #28 | 20.8% | #21 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #73 | +1.1 | #51 |
| Havoc Rate | 9.5% | #34 | 21.3% | #39 |
| Pass PPA | +0.9 | #10 | -0.3 | #7 |
| Rush PPA | +0.3 | #52 | -0.0 | #67 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-5.5#81
Recruiting
-3.3#84
Returning
+5.8#59
247 Talent
621.6#85
Head Coach
-16.9#127
National Composite
C
-4.4#89
SP+
-7.2#93
SP+ Off
+23.6#89
SP+ Def
+31.1#103
ESPN FPI
-5.2#88
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
647.0#7
Yards/G Allowed
250.0#50
Pass Yards/G
348.0#20
Rush Yards/G
299.0#16
3rd Down
28.6%#114
3rd Down Allowed
40.0%#85
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.34–4.66
Record
2–0
Simulated
9–3
Projected
7.9–4.1
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMaine | W 55–3 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#86 East Carolina | W 27–24 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#132 Charlotte | — | Win by 13.7 35–21 | 78.4% | — | — |
| 4 | @#60 NC State | — | Lose by 11.5 23–34 | 25.5% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#106 Old Dominion | — | Win by 2.9 30–27 | 56.6% | — | — |
| 7 | @#122 Coastal Carolina | — | Win by 5.2 31–27 | 61.8% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#84 James Madison | — | Lose by 0.9 28–29 | 48.0% | — | — |
| 9 | @#97 Georgia Southern | — | Lose by 0.9 30–31 | 48.0% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#130 Georgia State | — | Win by 12.2 35–23 | 75.8% | — | — |
| 11 | @#109 Marshall | — | Win by 1.1 31–30 | 52.4% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#138 UL Monroe | — | Win by 19.0 37–17 | 86.2% | — | — |
| 13 | @#116 South Alabama | — | Win by 3.8 31–28 | 58.7% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026