American Athletic · 2026
Tulsa
1–0
#78
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-4.1#78
Offense
+26.0#77
Defense
+30.2#86
National Composite
-0.3#70
EPi+ Efficiency
-12.6#119
TPi+ Talent
-5.3#80
Head Coach
-12.0#117
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-1.4#78
Off EPi+
-2.2#83
Def EPi+
-0.7#66
Off Success
41.4%#86
Def Success
36.4%#63
Havoc Created
10.2%#119
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 41.4% | #86 | 36.4% | #63 |
| Explosiveness | +1.1 | #104 | +1.0 | #28 |
| Havoc Rate | 12.1% | #65 | 10.2% | #119 |
| Pass PPA | +0.4 | #55 | +0.2 | #66 |
| Rush PPA | +0.0 | #87 | -0.1 | #47 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-5.3#80
Recruiting
-3.7#86
Returning
+0.8#71
247 Talent
622.8#84
Head Coach
-12.0#117
National Composite
C
-0.3#70
SP+
-2.3#75
SP+ Off
+25.2#78
SP+ Def
+28.0#83
ESPN FPI
-3.4#81
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
361.0#95
Yards/G Allowed
368.0#89
Pass Yards/G
227.0#73
Rush Yards/G
134.0#89
3rd Down
9.1%#133
3rd Down Allowed
31.3%#57
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
4.0#2
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.6–4.4
Record
2–0
Simulated
8–4
Projected
7.8–4.2
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#59 Oklahoma State | W 24–10 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#133 Sam Houston | W 23–17 | Final | |||
| 3 | vsEast Texas A&M | — | Win by 46.8 52–6 | 99.6% | — | — |
| 4 | @#42 Arkansas | — | Lose by 13.1 24–38 | 22.6% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#99 North Texas | — | Win by 5.0 34–30 | 61.2% | — | — |
| 6 | @#77 Navy | — | Lose by 1.7 28–31 | 46.2% | — | — |
| 7 | @#114 Rice | — | Win by 6.4 31–24 | 64.4% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#83 Army | — | Win by 2.7 27–24 | 56.0% | — | — |
| 10 | @#85 Tulane | — | Lose by 1.0 28–30 | 47.7% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#102 Florida Atlantic | — | Win by 5.8 34–28 | 63.1% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#132 Charlotte | — | Win by 16.5 35–20 | 82.7% | — | — |
| 13 | @#67 UTSA | — | Lose by 6.5 27–34 | 35.5% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026