
Conference USA · 2026
Liberty
0–1
#94
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-6.7#94
Offense
+25.0#86
Defense
+31.7#97
National Composite
-7.2#97
EPi+ Efficiency
-5.2#86
TPi+ Talent
-5.2#79
Head Coach
-5.3#97
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-8.0#102
Off EPi+
-5.1#105
Def EPi+
+2.9#98
Off Success
37.7%#104
Def Success
38.0%#72
Havoc Created
14.0%#85
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 37.7% | #104 | 38.0% | #72 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #85 | +1.3 | #69 |
| Havoc Rate | 13.0% | #70 | 14.0% | #85 |
| Pass PPA | +0.2 | #91 | +0.4 | #100 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #116 | +0.2 | #111 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-5.2#79
Recruiting
-3.9#87
Returning
+2.1#67
247 Talent
633.4#79
Head Coach
-5.3#97
National Composite
C
-7.2#97
SP+
-7.2#93
SP+ Off
+24.0#86
SP+ Def
+31.0#102
ESPN FPI
-7.6#101
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
321.0#106
Yards/G Allowed
291.0#64
Pass Yards/G
230.0#72
Rush Yards/G
91.0#117
3rd Down
43.8%#66
3rd Down Allowed
40.0%#85
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.68–4.32
Record
1–1
Simulated
11–1
Projected
7.7–4.3
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#84 James Madison | L 13–20 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsGardner-Webb | W 24–23 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#136 Ball State | — | Win by 15.0 34–17 | 80.5% | — | — |
| 4 | @#122 Coastal Carolina | — | Win by 5.4 31–27 | 62.1% | — | — |
| 5 | @#110 Delaware | — | Win by 2.7 31–28 | 56.2% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#133 Sam Houston | — | Win by 14.2 35–21 | 79.2% | — | — |
| 8 | @#115 Kennesaw State | — | Win by 3.9 30–26 | 58.9% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#113 Florida International | — | Win by 5.8 34–27 | 62.9% | — | — |
| 10 | @#125 New Mexico State | — | Win by 7.7 31–24 | 67.1% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#128 Middle Tennessee | — | Win by 10.4 34–24 | 72.5% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#104 Western Kentucky | — | Win by 3.2 30–27 | 57.2% | — | — |
| 13 | @#131 Missouri State | — | Win by 10.9 34–24 | 73.4% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026