
Conference USA · 2026
Middle Tennessee
1–0
#128
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-16.3#128
Offense
+20.8#111
Defense
+37.1#128
National Composite
-15.5#124
EPi+ Efficiency
-13.4#123
TPi+ Talent
-12.7#119
Head Coach
-23.5#134
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+3.1#61
Off EPi+
+4.4#41
Def EPi+
+1.3#85
Off Success
50.0%#52
Def Success
39.5%#81
Havoc Created
10.0%#122
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 50.0% | #52 | 39.5% | #81 |
| Explosiveness | +1.3 | #55 | +1.3 | #82 |
| Havoc Rate | 6.0% | #14 | 10.0% | #122 |
| Pass PPA | +0.3 | #69 | +0.2 | #68 |
| Rush PPA | +0.5 | #22 | +0.0 | #82 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-12.7#119
Recruiting
-8.1#115
Returning
-6.0#91
247 Talent
571.5#109
Head Coach
-23.5#134
National Composite
C
-15.5#124
SP+
-20.8#127
SP+ Off
+17.0#122
SP+ Def
+38.0#131
ESPN FPI
-15.4#125
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
396.0#73
Yards/G Allowed
290.0#63
Pass Yards/G
200.0#91
Rush Yards/G
196.0#54
3rd Down
42.9%#70
3rd Down Allowed
30.0%#52
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 4.93–7.07
Record
1–1
Simulated
2–10
Projected
4.6–7.4
Best case
7–5
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMurray State | W 38–14 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#109 Marshall | L 26–28 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#103 Nevada | — | Lose by 7.1 21–28 | 34.2% | — | — |
| 4 | @#107 Jacksonville State | — | Lose by 7.7 24–31 | 33.0% | — | — |
| 5 | @#46 Kansas | — | Lose by 23.2 17–41 | 9.1% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#110 Delaware | — | Lose by 5.3 27–34 | 38.1% | — | — |
| 8 | @#113 Florida International | — | Lose by 5.8 27–34 | 36.9% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#115 Kennesaw State | — | Lose by 4.1 27–31 | 40.7% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#104 Western Kentucky | — | Lose by 7.0 27–34 | 34.4% | — | — |
| 11 | @#94 Liberty | — | Lose by 10.4 24–34 | 27.5% | — | — |
| 12 | @#133 Sam Houston | — | Win by 3.0 30–27 | 56.8% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#125 New Mexico State | — | Lose by 0.3 27–28 | 49.3% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026