Big 12 · 2026
TCU
0–1
#44
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+5.1#44
Offense
+30.6#40
Defense
+25.5#58
National Composite
+2.8#60
EPi+ Efficiency
+4.7#49
TPi+ Talent
+6.1#44
Head Coach
+9.5#30
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-8.0#104
Off EPi+
-7.2#120
Def EPi+
+0.8#78
Off Success
33.3%#120
Def Success
46.6%#110
Havoc Created
15.5%#77
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 33.3% | #120 | 46.6% | #110 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #77 | +0.9 | #14 |
| Havoc Rate | 15.3% | #89 | 15.5% | #77 |
| Pass PPA | +0.0 | #121 | +0.3 | #82 |
| Rush PPA | -0.0 | #100 | -0.1 | #53 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+6.1#44
Recruiting
+8.2#32
Returning
-9.9#101
247 Talent
730.8#40
Head Coach
+9.5#30
National Composite
C
+2.8#60
SP+
+3.9#54
SP+ Off
+27.5#55
SP+ Def
+23.4#52
ESPN FPI
+4.8#48
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
281.0#118
Yards/G Allowed
322.0#72
Pass Yards/G
175.0#101
Rush Yards/G
106.0#110
3rd Down
43.8%#66
3rd Down Allowed
27.3%#44
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.92–6.08
Record
1–1
Simulated
5–7
Projected
5.9–6.1
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs#49 North Carolina | L 10–15 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsGrambling | W 63–7 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#112 Arkansas State | — | Win by 18.6 38–20 | 85.8% | — | — |
| 4 | @#53 UCF | — | Lose by 1.8 24–27 | 45.9% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#20 BYU | — | Lose by 4.0 24–28 | 40.9% | — | — |
| 7 | @#38 Baylor | — | Lose by 5.3 28–34 | 38.0% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#70 West Virginia | — | Win by 9.3 31–24 | 70.3% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#46 Kansas | — | Win by 4.2 31–27 | 59.4% | — | — |
| 10 | @#37 Arizona | — | Lose by 5.6 24–30 | 37.5% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#34 Kansas State | — | Win by 0.5 28–27 | 51.1% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#30 Utah | — | Lose by 0.4 27–28 | 49.1% | — | — |
| 13 | @#13 Texas Tech | — | Lose by 17.7 17–35 | 15.6% | +16.5 | -1.2 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026