Sun Belt · 2026

Arkansas State

4–4

CFPi+ rank#105of 138 FBS teams

-10.6CFPi+ rating

#91Best: TPi+ talent

#115Weakest: Head coach

4Games left

CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#105-10.6

Offense#106+20.3

Defense#108+30.9

EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#94-7.2

Off EPi+#54+1.8

Def EPi+#119+9.0

Advanced stats

Offense and defense

Stat	Offense	Defense
Success rate	#3846.6%	#11845.0%
Explosiveness	#113+1.150	#79+1.250
Havoc rate	#6614.4%	#13011.9%
Pass PPA	#54+0.260	#117+0.361
Rush PPA	#69+0.099	#100+0.126

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#91-6.0

Recruiting#80-2.3

Returning#102-11.4

247 talent#91606.2

Head coach#115-11.2

National composite

What other systems say

Composite#100-8.5

SP+#97-7.0

SP+ off#81+25.4

SP+ def#113+32.2

ESPN FPI#98-8.7

Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#76378.9

Yards/G allowed#102386.0

Pass yards/G#53242.5

Rush yards/G#99136.4

3rd down#5142.4%

3rd down allowed#12144.3%

Sacks/G#1370.6

Takeaways/G#251.6

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

Wk	Opponent	Result	Projected
1	@Memphis	L 24–42	Final
2	vsWest Georgia	W 52–7	Final
3	@TCU	L 7–31	Final
4	vsKennesaw State	W 17–14	Final
5	@Louisiana	L 20–23	Final
6	vsSouth Alabama	L 49–56	Final
7	@Southern Miss	W 23–13	Final
8	vsGeorgia State	W 38–32	Final
10	vsUL Monroe	—
11	@Coastal Carolina	—
12	@Louisiana Tech	—
13	vsTroy	—

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