Pac-12 · 2026
Texas State
4–3
CFPi+ rank#61of 138 FBS teams
+1.3CFPi+ rating
#34Best: Head coach
#97Weakest: Defense
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#61+1.3
Offense#35+31.1
Defense#97+29.8
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#60+2.1
Off EPi+#30+7.9
Def EPi+#108+5.8
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #850.9% | #10544.1% |
| Explosiveness | #54+1.272 | #76+1.246 |
| Havoc rate | #2612.4% | #9414.6% |
| Pass PPA | #24+0.398 | #113+0.339 |
| Rush PPA | #9+0.252 | #39-0.019 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#82-4.3
Recruiting#90-4.8
Returning#21+13.1
247 talent#82624.8
Head coach#34+8.3
What other systems say
Composite#70-0.8
SP+#65+1.5
SP+ off#24+33.5
SP+ def#109+31.6
ESPN FPI#72-0.3
The box-score view
Yards/G#4517.7
Yards/G allowed#112399.7
Pass yards/G#48245.7
Rush yards/G#5272.0
3rd down#255.4%
3rd down allowed#6437.5%
Sacks/G#1301.0
Takeaways/G#1260.7
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ #7Texas | L 7–59 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs UTSA | L 26–31 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs North Texas | W 49–35 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs Incarnate Word | W 63–10 | Final | |||
| 5 | @ San Diego State | L 29–31 | Final | |||
| 7 | vs Colorado State | W 66–27 | Final | |||
| 8 | vs Utah State | W 20–17 | Final | |||
| 9 | @ Boise State | — | ||||
| 10 | @ Oregon State | — | ||||
| 11 | vs Fresno State | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Washington State | — | ||||
Unlock Texas State’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026