Pac-12 · 2026
Texas State
0–1
#82
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-4.8#82
Offense
+33.4#21
Defense
+38.2#136
National Composite
-6.2#92
EPi+ Efficiency
+7.9#36
TPi+ Talent
-7.3#89
Head Coach
+8.0#34
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-14.6#120
Off EPi+
-4.5#103
Def EPi+
+10.1#126
Off Success
42.9%#78
Def Success
50.0%#120
Havoc Created
17.1%#62
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 42.9% | #78 | 50.0% | #120 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #86 | +1.6 | #121 |
| Havoc Rate | 20.5% | #116 | 17.1% | #62 |
| Pass PPA | +0.4 | #58 | +1.0 | #133 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #117 | +0.0 | #76 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-7.3#89
Recruiting
-4.8#90
Returning
+12.6#21
247 Talent
624.8#82
Head Coach
+8.0#34
National Composite
C
-6.2#92
SP+
-7.8#101
SP+ Off
+30.3#42
SP+ Def
+38.2#132
ESPN FPI
-7.9#103
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
349.0#98
Yards/G Allowed
516.0#127
Pass Yards/G
188.0#97
Rush Yards/G
161.0#72
3rd Down
57.1%#27
3rd Down Allowed
73.3%#137
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.19–5.81
Record
0–2
Simulated
5–6
Projected
4.8–6.2
Best case
7–4
Worst case
2–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#4 Texas | L 7–59 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#67 UTSA | L 26–31 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#99 North Texas | — | Win by 3.9 38–34 | 58.8% | — | — |
| 4 | vsIncarnate Word | — | Win by 27.4 42–14 | 94.2% | — | — |
| 5 | @#55 San Diego State | — | Lose by 9.7 24–34 | 29.0% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#90 Colorado State | — | Win by 2.8 31–28 | 56.4% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#108 Utah State | — | Win by 5.9 35–30 | 63.3% | — | — |
| 9 | @#51 Boise State | — | Lose by 11.9 24–38 | 24.8% | — | — |
| 10 | @#88 Oregon State | — | Lose by 1.9 28–31 | 45.5% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#89 Fresno State | — | Win by 2.2 30–28 | 55.0% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#75 Washington State | — | Lose by 0.6 28–30 | 48.6% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026