Pac-12 · 2026
San Diego State
1–0
#55
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+2.4#55
Offense
+24.1#96
Defense
+21.7#34
National Composite
+4.5#51
EPi+ Efficiency
+7.7#37
TPi+ Talent
+0.3#65
Head Coach
-4.3#93
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+0.4#73
Off EPi+
+2.1#62
Def EPi+
+1.7#86
Off Success
41.5%#84
Def Success
43.4%#101
Havoc Created
9.9%#123
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 41.5% | #84 | 43.4% | #101 |
| Explosiveness | +1.6 | #10 | +1.0 | #20 |
| Havoc Rate | 14.1% | #80 | 9.9% | #123 |
| Pass PPA | +0.7 | #25 | +0.3 | #85 |
| Rush PPA | +0.4 | #34 | -0.2 | #40 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+0.3#65
Recruiting
-2.1#79
Returning
+19.5#2
247 Talent
609.2#89
Head Coach
-4.3#93
National Composite
C
+4.5#51
SP+
+3.1#57
SP+ Off
+25.8#72
SP+ Def
+23.3#51
ESPN FPI
+1.2#63
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
394.0#79
Yards/G Allowed
375.0#91
Pass Yards/G
157.0#109
Rush Yards/G
237.0#37
3rd Down
50.0%#44
3rd Down Allowed
36.8%#77
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
3.0#7
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.2–3.8
Record
1–1
Simulated
9–2
Projected
6.9–4.1
Best case
9–2
Worst case
4–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsPortland State | W 53–20 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#36 UCLA | L 10–28 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#84 James Madison | — | Win by 9.8 30–20 | 71.4% | — | — |
| 4 | @#93 Toledo | — | Win by 7.2 27–20 | 66.0% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#82 Texas State | — | Win by 9.7 34–24 | 71.0% | — | — |
| 6 | @#88 Oregon State | — | Win by 4.8 24–21 | 60.8% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#89 Fresno State | — | Win by 10.4 27–17 | 72.4% | — | — |
| 8 | @#90 Colorado State | — | Win by 6.4 27–21 | 64.3% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#75 Washington State | — | Win by 7.6 27–20 | 66.8% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#108 Utah State | — | Win by 14.1 34–20 | 79.1% | — | — |
| 12 | @#51 Boise State | — | Lose by 5.1 21–27 | 38.5% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026