
American Athletic · 2026
UAB
0–1
#117
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-11.7#117
Offense
+26.0#76
Defense
+37.8#131
National Composite
-15.4#123
EPi+ Efficiency
-8.3#100
TPi+ Talent
-7.9#92
Head Coach
0.0#63
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-13.1#116
Off EPi+
-2.2#84
Def EPi+
+10.9#128
Off Success
41.2%#88
Def Success
56.8%#133
Havoc Created
4.5%#137
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 41.2% | #88 | 56.8% | #133 |
| Explosiveness | +1.3 | #53 | +1.4 | #94 |
| Havoc Rate | 13.9% | #78 | 4.5% | #137 |
| Pass PPA | -0.1 | #126 | +0.9 | #132 |
| Rush PPA | +0.3 | #47 | +0.2 | #115 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-7.9#92
Recruiting
-5.9#98
Returning
+11.6#29
247 Talent
606.2#92
Head Coach
0.0#63
National Composite
C
-15.4#123
SP+
-16.0#123
SP+ Off
+21.8#100
SP+ Def
+37.4#128
ESPN FPI
-14.5#122
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
413.0#62
Yards/G Allowed
332.0#76
Pass Yards/G
219.0#78
Rush Yards/G
194.0#55
3rd Down
52.6%#41
3rd Down Allowed
50.0%#110
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 4.98–7.02
Record
1–1
Simulated
3–9
Projected
5.2–6.8
Best case
7–5
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#40 Illinois | L 23–42 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#138 UL Monroe | W 26–20 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#105 Louisiana | — | Lose by 4.3 28–31 | 40.2% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#77 Navy | — | Lose by 6.4 28–35 | 35.6% | — | — |
| 5 | vsSamford | — | Win by 41.3 48–7 | 99.1% | — | — |
| 6 | @#57 Memphis | — | Lose by 16.6 24–41 | 17.0% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#86 East Carolina | — | Lose by 5.4 27–34 | 37.9% | — | — |
| 9 | @#73 South Florida | — | Lose by 11.8 26–38 | 25.0% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#132 Charlotte | — | Win by 8.9 34–24 | 69.5% | — | — |
| 11 | @#80 Temple | — | Lose by 9.4 27–35 | 29.5% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#67 UTSA | — | Lose by 10.3 27–37 | 27.8% | — | — |
| 13 | @#99 North Texas | — | Lose by 5.5 31–38 | 37.6% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026