Big Ten · 2026
Illinois
1–0
#40
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+5.9#40
Offense
+31.1#37
Defense
+25.2#57
National Composite
+7.6#36
EPi+ Efficiency
+3.4#54
TPi+ Talent
+0.4#64
Head Coach
+14.6#14
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+4.2#59
Off EPi+
+6.6#24
Def EPi+
+2.4#91
Off Success
56.8%#26
Def Success
41.2%#87
Havoc Created
13.9%#86
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 56.8% | #26 | 41.2% | #87 |
| Explosiveness | +1.4 | #44 | +1.3 | #84 |
| Havoc Rate | 4.5% | #5 | 13.9% | #86 |
| Pass PPA | +0.9 | #12 | -0.1 | #32 |
| Rush PPA | +0.2 | #56 | +0.3 | #120 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+0.4#64
Recruiting
+5.6#49
Returning
-8.7#99
247 Talent
704.0#51
Head Coach
+14.6#14
National Composite
C
+7.6#36
SP+
+7.5#41
SP+ Off
+31.3#34
SP+ Def
+24.2#60
ESPN FPI
+5.7#45
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
332.0#104
Yards/G Allowed
413.0#106
Pass Yards/G
182.0#99
Rush Yards/G
150.0#80
3rd Down
50.0%#44
3rd Down Allowed
52.6%#117
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 6.28–5.72
Record
1–1
Simulated
5–7
Projected
5.7–6.3
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#117 UAB | W 42–23 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#45 Duke | L 27–31 | Final | |||
| 3 | vsSouthern Illinois | — | Win by 33.2 45–13 | 97.2% | — | — |
| 4 | @#1 Ohio State | — | Lose by 31.2 10–41 | 3.7% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#63 Purdue | — | Win by 8.4 31–24 | 68.4% | — | — |
| 6 | @#71 Michigan State | — | Win by 2.7 30–27 | 56.1% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#5 Oregon | — | Lose by 14.4 20–34 | 20.4% | — | — |
| 9 | @#41 Maryland | — | Lose by 4.0 24–28 | 41.0% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#26 Nebraska | — | Win by 0.1 28–27 | 50.2% | — | — |
| 11 | @#36 UCLA | — | Lose by 5.8 24–30 | 36.9% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#21 Iowa | — | Lose by 2.1 24–27 | 45.3% | — | — |
| 13 | @#48 Northwestern | — | Lose by 1.1 24–26 | 47.6% | -3.5 | -4.6 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026