ACC · 2026
Duke
5–2
CFPi+ rank#50of 138 FBS teams
+4.8CFPi+ rating
#40Best: Head coach
#69Weakest: TPi+ talent
5Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#50+4.8
Offense#55+27.2
Defense#44+22.4
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#51+4.1
Off EPi+#73-1.3
Def EPi+#33-5.4
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #7342.3% | #4539.3% |
| Explosiveness | #30+1.321 | #33+1.161 |
| Havoc rate | #1110.8% | #6816.0% |
| Pass PPA | #43+0.312 | #76+0.189 |
| Rush PPA | #55+0.135 | #17-0.076 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#69-0.3
Recruiting#64+2.9
Returning#95-7.8
247 talent#69668.5
Head coach#40+7.4
What other systems say
Composite#47+7.4
SP+#47+6.8
SP+ off#49+29.7
SP+ def#44+22.9
ESPN FPI#42+7.6
The box-score view
Yards/G#40426.1
Yards/G allowed#22301.3
Pass yards/G#61236.4
Rush yards/G#36189.7
3rd down#4043.8%
3rd down allowed#929.2%
Sacks/G#252.6
Takeaways/G#891.0
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tulane | W 17–3 | Final | |||
| 2 | @ Illinois | W 31–27 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs Stanford | W 35–7 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs William & Mary | W 62–7 | Final | |||
| 6 | @ Georgia Tech | L 25–28 | Final | |||
| 7 | vs North Carolina | L 20–24 | Final | |||
| 8 | @ Virginia | W 19–16 | Final | |||
| 9 | vs Boston College | — | ||||
| 10 | @ NC State | — | ||||
| 11 | @ #2Miami | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Clemson | — | ||||
| 13 | @ #17Wake Forest | — | ||||
Unlock Duke’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026










#2
#17