ACC · 2026
Louisville
0–1
#24
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+10.6#24
Offense
+31.3#35
Defense
+20.7#28
National Composite
+9.7#27
EPi+ Efficiency
+12.7#24
TPi+ Talent
+8.9#28
Head Coach
+13.0#15
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-3.9#88
Off EPi+
+4.2#45
Def EPi+
+8.1#117
Off Success
45.6%#72
Def Success
46.3%#108
Havoc Created
11.3%#109
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 45.6% | #72 | 46.3% | #108 |
| Explosiveness | +1.5 | #23 | +1.3 | #86 |
| Havoc Rate | 16.2% | #99 | 11.3% | #109 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #46 | +0.5 | #121 |
| Rush PPA | +0.3 | #40 | +0.1 | #95 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+8.9#28
Recruiting
+6.3#40
Returning
+5.4#61
247 Talent
740.0#37
Head Coach
+13.0#15
National Composite
C
+9.7#27
SP+
+10.0#33
SP+ Off
+31.7#33
SP+ Def
+21.9#41
ESPN FPI
+10.8#28
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
469.0#54
Yards/G Allowed
488.0#123
Pass Yards/G
307.0#35
Rush Yards/G
162.0#69
3rd Down
43.8%#66
3rd Down Allowed
37.5%#78
Sacks/G
0.0#124
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.41–4.59
Record
1–1
Simulated
10–2
Projected
7.4–4.6
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#18 Ole Miss | L 38–41 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsVillanova | W 59–13 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#27 SMU | — | Win by 5.4 28–24 | 62.2% | -1.5 | +3.9 |
| 4 | vs#56 Wake Forest | — | Win by 12.4 31–20 | 76.1% | — | — |
| 5 | @#60 NC State | — | Win by 4.7 28–24 | 60.7% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#54 Florida State | — | Win by 12.0 31–20 | 75.4% | — | — |
| 7 | @#65 Syracuse | — | Win by 5.5 30–24 | 62.3% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#74 Stanford | — | Win by 16.6 34–17 | 82.9% | — | — |
| 10 | @#43 Georgia Tech | — | Win by 1.1 28–27 | 52.6% | — | — |
| 11 | @#49 North Carolina | — | Win by 2.6 24–21 | 55.9% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#35 Pittsburgh | — | Win by 7.2 31–24 | 66.0% | — | — |
| 13 | @#39 Kentucky | — | Lose by 0.4 24–26 | 49.2% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026