ACC · 2026
SMU
1–0
#27
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+9.9#27
Offense
+31.2#36
Defense
+21.3#32
National Composite
+8.2#33
EPi+ Efficiency
+11.8#26
TPi+ Talent
+8.6#30
Head Coach
+15.4#13
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+1.6#69
Off EPi+
+6.2#26
Def EPi+
+4.5#105
Off Success
55.2%#30
Def Success
37.3%#66
Havoc Created
6.0%#135
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 55.2% | #30 | 37.3% | #66 |
| Explosiveness | +1.3 | #59 | +1.4 | #104 |
| Havoc Rate | 9.0% | #29 | 6.0% | #135 |
| Pass PPA | +0.6 | #34 | +0.2 | #78 |
| Rush PPA | +0.1 | #75 | +0.2 | #103 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+8.6#30
Recruiting
+5.5#50
Returning
+5.6#60
247 Talent
764.5#31
Head Coach
+15.4#13
National Composite
C
+8.2#33
SP+
+11.1#31
SP+ Off
+32.2#29
SP+ Def
+20.8#36
ESPN FPI
+12.1#20
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
585.0#17
Yards/G Allowed
324.0#73
Pass Yards/G
430.0#5
Rush Yards/G
155.0#74
3rd Down
57.1%#27
3rd Down Allowed
13.3%#15
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 8.2–3.8
Record
2–0
Simulated
10–2
Projected
8.3–3.7
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#54 Florida State | W 27–24 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsUC Davis | W 56–10 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#24 Louisville | — | Lose by 5.4 24–28 | 37.8% | +1.5 | -3.9 |
| 4 | vs#131 Missouri State | — | Win by 30.2 42–13 | 95.9% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#76 Boston College | — | Win by 16.2 35–20 | 82.4% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#33 Virginia | — | Win by 5.1 27–24 | 61.5% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#68 California | — | Win by 13.1 34–20 | 77.4% | — | — |
| 9 | @#65 Syracuse | — | Win by 4.8 28–24 | 60.8% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#31 Virginia Tech | — | Win by 4.6 28–24 | 60.3% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#56 Wake Forest | — | Win by 10.9 31–20 | 73.5% | — | — |
| 12 | @#3 Notre Dame | — | Lose by 24.6 14–38 | 7.9% | +17.5 | -7.1 |
| 13 | @#74 Stanford | — | Win by 8.7 28–20 | 69.2% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026