ACC · 2026
Florida State
1–1
#54
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+2.9#54
Offense
+26.3#72
Defense
+23.4#43
National Composite
+5.3#47
EPi+ Efficiency
+10.8#30
TPi+ Talent
+13.4#20
Head Coach
-5.5#98
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-5.2#94
Off EPi+
+1.9#65
Def EPi+
+7.1#112
Off Success
41.0%#89
Def Success
44.8%#104
Havoc Created
12.7%#95
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 41.0% | #89 | 44.8% | #104 |
| Explosiveness | +1.4 | #39 | +1.4 | #103 |
| Havoc Rate | 7.5% | #20 | 12.7% | #95 |
| Pass PPA | +0.3 | #75 | +0.5 | #114 |
| Rush PPA | +0.2 | #53 | +0.1 | #83 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+13.4#20
Recruiting
+14.5#19
Returning
-2.0#81
247 Talent
800.2#21
Head Coach
-5.5#98
National Composite
C
+5.3#47
SP+
+6.9#44
SP+ Off
+29.1#49
SP+ Def
+21.9#41
ESPN FPI
+7.3#37
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
371.5#87
Yards/G Allowed
452.0#116
Pass Yards/G
163.5#105
Rush Yards/G
208.0#47
3rd Down
34.5%#100
3rd Down Allowed
58.1%#132
Sacks/G
1.5#78
Takeaways/G
2.5#22
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.04–6.96
Record
1–1
Simulated
4–8
Projected
5.0–7.0
Best case
7–5
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs#125 New Mexico State | W 34–17 | Final | |||
| 1 | vs#27 SMU | L 24–27 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#10 Alabama | — | Lose by 24.0 13–37 | 8.4% | +15.5 | -8.5 |
| 4 | vsCentral Arkansas | — | Win by 40.6 48–7 | 99.0% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#33 Virginia | — | Lose by 2.2 24–26 | 44.9% | — | — |
| 6 | @#24 Louisville | — | Lose by 12.0 20–31 | 24.6% | — | — |
| 7 | @#6 Miami | — | Lose by 24.4 13–37 | 8.0% | +16.5 | -7.9 |
| 9 | vs#29 Clemson | — | Lose by 3.2 23–26 | 42.7% | +1.5 | -1.7 |
| 10 | @#76 Boston College | — | Win by 3.1 27–24 | 57.2% | — | — |
| 11 | @#35 Pittsburgh | — | Lose by 8.8 21–31 | 30.6% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#60 NC State | — | Win by 3.9 28–24 | 58.7% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#15 Florida | — | Lose by 9.4 20–30 | 29.4% | +4.5 | -4.9 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026