Big Ten · 2026
Michigan
1–0
#19
CFPi+
View full team outlook in the War Room →
CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+14.3#19
Offense
+30.4#41
Defense
+16.1#14
National Composite
+8.3#32
EPi+ Efficiency
+7.5#38
TPi+ Talent
+21.9#9
Head Coach
+11.5#24
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+2.0#67
Off EPi+
-2.7#89
Def EPi+
-4.6#37
Off Success
43.8%#74
Def Success
32.9%#50
Havoc Created
15.7%#72
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 43.8% | #74 | 32.9% | #50 |
| Explosiveness | +1.1 | #106 | +1.1 | #37 |
| Havoc Rate | 16.7% | #102 | 15.7% | #72 |
| Pass PPA | +0.3 | #76 | -0.2 | #19 |
| Rush PPA | +0.2 | #70 | -0.0 | #63 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+21.9#9
Recruiting
+20.2#12
Returning
+10.7#35
247 Talent
890.0#11
Head Coach
+11.5#24
National Composite
C
+8.3#32
SP+
+12.2#26
SP+ Off
+29.7#45
SP+ Def
+17.0#17
ESPN FPI
+11.8#21
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
276.0#120
Yards/G Allowed
221.0#38
Pass Yards/G
170.0#102
Rush Yards/G
106.0#110
3rd Down
30.0%#112
3rd Down Allowed
44.4%#101
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.71–4.29
Record
2–0
Simulated
10–2
Projected
8.1–3.9
Best case
10–2
Worst case
6–6
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#87 Western Michigan | W 13–12 | Final | |||
| 2 | vs#11 Oklahoma | W 17–10 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#134 UTEP | — | Win by 40.1 45–6 | 98.9% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#21 Iowa | — | Win by 9.3 28–20 | 70.2% | — | — |
| 5 | @#50 Minnesota | — | Win by 6.4 27–20 | 64.4% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#16 Penn State | — | Win by 5.8 28–23 | 63.0% | -6.5 | -0.7 |
| 8 | vs#9 Indiana | — | Win by 1.6 26–24 | 53.7% | +6 | +7.6 |
| 9 | @#66 Rutgers | — | Win by 10.8 31–21 | 73.1% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#71 Michigan State | — | Win by 21.8 35–14 | 89.4% | -16.5 | +5.3 |
| 11 | @#5 Oregon | — | Lose by 19.2 16–34 | 13.6% | +13.5 | -5.7 |
| 12 | vs#36 UCLA | — | Win by 13.8 31–17 | 78.6% | — | — |
| 13 | @#1 Ohio State | — | Lose by 23.4 10–34 | 8.9% | +13.5 | -9.9 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026