Big Ten · 2026
Penn State
1–0
#16
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+16.3#16
Offense
+36.0#15
Defense
+19.7#24
National Composite
+18.7#10
EPi+ Efficiency
+11.1#29
TPi+ Talent
+11.5#23
Head Coach
+12.7#16
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+12.9#20
Off EPi+
+7.0#22
Def EPi+
-5.9#30
Off Success
53.8%#35
Def Success
30.6%#43
Havoc Created
25.5%#21
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 53.8% | #35 | 30.6% | #43 |
| Explosiveness | +1.5 | #17 | +1.0 | #29 |
| Havoc Rate | 9.5% | #35 | 25.5% | #21 |
| Pass PPA | +1.4 | #3 | +0.2 | #70 |
| Rush PPA | -0.1 | #108 | -0.5 | #7 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+11.5#23
Recruiting
+14.0#20
Returning
-17.4#125
247 Talent
774.0#26
Head Coach
+12.7#16
National Composite
C
+18.7#10
SP+
+19.8#13
SP+ Off
+35.3#11
SP+ Def
+16.2#14
ESPN FPI
+17.2#14
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
487.0#48
Yards/G Allowed
147.0#13
Pass Yards/G
324.0#30
Rush Yards/G
163.0#68
3rd Down
50.0%#44
3rd Down Allowed
9.1%#7
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
2.0#23
2026 Scheduleprojected 9.26–2.74
Record
2–0
Simulated
11–1
Projected
9.4–2.6
Best case
11–1
Worst case
7–5
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs#109 Marshall | W 45–0 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#80 Temple | W 27–9 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#111 Buffalo | — | Win by 33.3 42–10 | 97.2% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#69 Wisconsin | — | Win by 23.7 34–10 | 91.3% | — | — |
| 5 | @#48 Northwestern | — | Win by 8.6 30–21 | 68.8% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#14 USC | — | Win by 7.7 31–24 | 67.1% | -1.5 | +6.2 |
| 7 | @#19 Michigan | — | Lose by 5.8 23–28 | 37.0% | +6.5 | +0.7 |
| 9 | vs#63 Purdue | — | Win by 22.3 38–17 | 89.9% | — | — |
| 10 | @#28 Washington | — | Win by 0.4 27–26 | 50.8% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#50 Minnesota | — | Win by 19.9 34–14 | 87.3% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#66 Rutgers | — | Win by 23.0 41–17 | 90.7% | — | — |
| 13 | @#41 Maryland | — | Win by 5.6 30–24 | 62.7% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026