Big Ten · 2026
Northwestern
1–0
#48
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
+4.0#48
Offense
+24.9#89
Defense
+20.8#29
National Composite
+7.0#38
EPi+ Efficiency
-5.0#84
TPi+ Talent
+2.0#60
Head Coach
-2.2#86
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
+4.8#55
Off EPi+
+6.0#28
Def EPi+
+1.2#82
Off Success
50.9%#47
Def Success
42.2%#97
Havoc Created
18.9%#56
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 50.9% | #47 | 42.2% | #97 |
| Explosiveness | +1.5 | #26 | +1.1 | #35 |
| Havoc Rate | 12.7% | #69 | 18.9% | #56 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #47 | +0.1 | #62 |
| Rush PPA | +0.5 | #21 | +0.1 | #90 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
+2.0#60
Recruiting
+3.0#63
Returning
+15.4#10
247 Talent
688.3#60
Head Coach
-2.2#86
National Composite
C
+7.0#38
SP+
+7.8#40
SP+ Off
+27.2#58
SP+ Def
+19.8#26
ESPN FPI
+2.5#57
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
497.0#43
Yards/G Allowed
432.0#112
Pass Yards/G
273.0#50
Rush Yards/G
224.0#44
3rd Down
41.7%#74
3rd Down Allowed
40.0%#85
Sacks/G
2.0#48
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 5.54–6.46
Record
1–0
Simulated
6–6
Projected
5.5–6.5
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSouth Dakota State | W 34–18 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#62 Colorado | — | Win by 5.1 27–21 | 61.4% | — | — |
| 4 | @#9 Indiana | — | Lose by 21.7 14–35 | 10.7% | — | — |
| 5 | vs#16 Penn State | — | Lose by 8.6 21–30 | 31.2% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#136 Ball State | — | Win by 26.0 35–10 | 93.2% | — | — |
| 7 | @#71 Michigan State | — | Win by 0.9 26–24 | 52.0% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#66 Rutgers | — | Win by 6.1 30–24 | 63.6% | — | — |
| 9 | @#5 Oregon | — | Lose by 28.7 10–38 | 5.0% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#21 Iowa | — | Lose by 5.1 21–26 | 38.5% | — | — |
| 11 | @#1 Ohio State | — | Lose by 33.0 7–38 | 2.9% | — | — |
| 12 | @#50 Minnesota | — | Lose by 3.1 21–24 | 42.8% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#40 Illinois | — | Win by 1.1 26–24 | 52.4% | +3.5 | +4.6 |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026