
Mid-American · 2026
Toledo
0–1
#93
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-6.6#93
Offense
+18.2#124
Defense
+24.8#54
National Composite
-8.2#103
EPi+ Efficiency
+15.9#13
TPi+ Talent
-8.1#95
Head Coach
0.0#63
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-1.5#79
Off EPi+
-1.3#80
Def EPi+
+0.2#72
Off Success
28.6%#129
Def Success
37.6%#68
Havoc Created
10.6%#114
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 28.6% | #129 | 37.6% | #68 |
| Explosiveness | +2.3 | #1 | +1.1 | #43 |
| Havoc Rate | 26.2% | #132 | 10.6% | #114 |
| Pass PPA | +0.5 | #44 | +0.3 | #95 |
| Rush PPA | +0.0 | #85 | -0.2 | #39 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-8.1#95
Recruiting
-5.7#95
Returning
+8.6#47
247 Talent
556.3#116
Head Coach
0.0#63
National Composite
C
-8.2#103
SP+
-9.4#103
SP+ Off
+17.9#118
SP+ Def
+26.9#75
ESPN FPI
-4.0#83
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
273.0#122
Yards/G Allowed
397.0#99
Pass Yards/G
196.0#94
Rush Yards/G
77.0#122
3rd Down
12.5%#131
3rd Down Allowed
33.3%#62
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
0.0#99
2026 Scheduleprojected 7.02–4.98
Record
1–1
Simulated
8–4
Projected
7.0–5.0
Best case
10–2
Worst case
5–7
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @#71 Michigan State | L 20–30 | Final | |||
| 2 | vsCentral Connecticut | W 63–10 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#80 Temple | — | Lose by 0.8 26–27 | 48.3% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#55 San Diego State | — | Lose by 7.2 20–27 | 34.0% | — | — |
| 5 | @#136 Ball State | — | Win by 13.5 28–14 | 78.1% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#111 Buffalo | — | Win by 4.9 24–20 | 61.0% | — | — |
| 7 | @#121 Eastern Michigan | — | Win by 5.5 27–21 | 62.4% | — | — |
| 8 | vs#87 Western Michigan | — | Lose by 0.1 20–21 | 49.9% | — | — |
| 10 | @#120 Sacramento State | — | Win by 4.7 27–21 | 60.5% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#137 Massachusetts | — | Win by 16.7 31–14 | 83.1% | — | — |
| 12 | vs#123 Bowling Green | — | Win by 7.7 24–17 | 67.2% | — | — |
| 13 | @#118 Ohio | — | Win by 3.9 24–20 | 58.8% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026