
Mid-American · 2026
Bowling Green
0–1
#123
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-13.5#123
Offense
+15.7#130
Defense
+29.3#81
National Composite
-10.7#111
EPi+ Efficiency
-11.2#114
TPi+ Talent
-15.2#129
Head Coach
-14.0#122
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-9.0#106
Off EPi+
-5.8#111
Def EPi+
+3.1#100
Off Success
39.4%#95
Def Success
39.0%#79
Havoc Created
8.5%#129
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 39.4% | #95 | 39.0% | #79 |
| Explosiveness | +1.0 | #122 | +1.4 | #101 |
| Havoc Rate | 12.1% | #64 | 8.5% | #129 |
| Pass PPA | +0.6 | #36 | +0.4 | #97 |
| Rush PPA | -0.4 | #134 | -0.0 | #69 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-15.2#129
Recruiting
-7.0#108
Returning
-7.0#93
247 Talent
568.3#111
Head Coach
-14.0#122
National Composite
C
-10.7#111
SP+
-12.8#112
SP+ Off
+15.0#126
SP+ Def
+28.1#84
ESPN FPI
-14.8#123
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
366.0#92
Yards/G Allowed
464.0#118
Pass Yards/G
262.0#56
Rush Yards/G
104.0#112
3rd Down
46.2%#58
3rd Down Allowed
10.0%#9
Sacks/G
1.0#82
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 4.43–7.57
Record
0–2
Simulated
4–8
Projected
4.4–7.6
Best case
7–5
Worst case
2–10
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsTarleton State | L 13–20 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#26 Nebraska | L 7–56 | Final | |||
| 3 | @#61 Iowa State | — | Lose by 17.6 14–31 | 15.7% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#73 South Florida | — | Lose by 10.0 21–31 | 28.2% | — | — |
| 5 | @#92 Miami (OH) | — | Lose by 7.9 20–27 | 32.6% | — | — |
| 6 | vs#120 Sacramento State | — | Win by 0.2 24–23 | 50.5% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#136 Ball State | — | Win by 8.2 27–20 | 68.0% | — | — |
| 8 | @#111 Buffalo | — | Lose by 4.1 21–24 | 40.6% | — | — |
| 9 | @#87 Western Michigan | — | Lose by 9.1 17–27 | 30.0% | — | — |
| 11 | vs#135 Kent State | — | Win by 8.0 28–20 | 67.7% | — | — |
| 12 | @#93 Toledo | — | Lose by 7.7 17–24 | 32.8% | — | — |
| 13 | vs#137 Massachusetts | — | Win by 9.7 28–20 | 71.2% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026