
Mid-American · 2026
Sacramento State
1–1
#120
CFPi+
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CFPi+ Index
CFPi+
-12.9#120
Offense
+20.4#113
Defense
+33.2#109
National Composite
-16.4#125
EPi+ Efficiency
-0.0#63
TPi+ Talent
-10.8#106
Head Coach
0.0#63
EPi+ Efficiency Index
EPi+
-3.2#85
Off EPi+
-6.0#112
Def EPi+
-2.8#47
Off Success
35.2%#113
Def Success
32.3%#49
Havoc Created
17.9%#59
Advanced Stats
| Stat | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 35.2% | #113 | 32.3% | #49 |
| Explosiveness | +1.2 | #83 | +1.3 | #75 |
| Havoc Rate | 16.9% | #103 | 17.9% | #59 |
| Pass PPA | +0.1 | #111 | +0.1 | #58 |
| Rush PPA | +0.0 | #89 | -0.2 | #38 |
TPi+ Talent Index
TPi+
-10.8#106
Recruiting
-14.5#130
Returning
0.0#74
247 Talent
561.4#114
Head Coach
0.0#63
National Composite
C
-16.4#125
SP+
-19.1#125
SP+ Off
+16.6#123
SP+ Def
+35.7#122
ESPN FPI
-18.4#134
Traditional Stats
Yards/G
360.5#96
Yards/G Allowed
247.5#49
Pass Yards/G
234.5#67
Rush Yards/G
126.0#96
3rd Down
35.7%#97
3rd Down Allowed
23.3%#32
Sacks/G
3.0#21
Takeaways/G
1.0#52
2026 Scheduleprojected 6–6
Record
1–2
Simulated
6–6
Projected
5.7–6.3
Best case
8–4
Worst case
3–9
| WK | OPPONENT | RESULT | PROJECTED | WIN PROB | MARKET | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @#121 Eastern Michigan | L 17–28 | Final | |||
| 1 | vsMississippi Valley State | W 52–0 | Final | |||
| 2 | @#89 Fresno State | L 3–49 | Final | |||
| 3 | vs#81 North Dakota State | — | Lose by 6.6 24–31 | 35.3% | — | — |
| 4 | vs#137 Massachusetts | — | Win by 10.4 31–21 | 72.4% | — | — |
| 6 | @#123 Bowling Green | — | Lose by 0.2 23–24 | 49.5% | — | — |
| 7 | vs#118 Ohio | — | Win by 0.6 26–24 | 51.3% | — | — |
| 8 | @#136 Ball State | — | Win by 7.2 28–21 | 66.1% | — | — |
| 9 | vs#135 Kent State | — | Win by 8.7 31–21 | 69.1% | — | — |
| 10 | vs#93 Toledo | — | Lose by 4.7 21–27 | 39.5% | — | — |
| 11 | @#124 Central Michigan | — | Win by 0.4 24–23 | 50.8% | — | — |
| 13 | @#98 Hawai'i | — | Lose by 7.1 24–31 | 34.1% | — | — |
CFPi+ V2026.2 · data vintage 9/8/2026