Mid-American · 2026
Buffalo
5–3
CFPi+ rank#129of 138 FBS teams
-16.1CFPi+ rating
#90Best: Head coach
#127Weakest: Defense
4Games left
Where the team ranks
CFPi+#129-16.1
Offense#121+18.0
Defense#127+34.1
How efficiently it plays
EPi+#109-10.0
Off EPi+#115-7.6
Def EPi+#90+2.4
Offense and defense
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Success rate | #13335.8% | #4139.1% |
| Explosiveness | #90+1.210 | #61+1.219 |
| Havoc rate | #8815.7% | #6516.1% |
| Pass PPA | #120+0.043 | #89+0.227 |
| Rush PPA | #91+0.052 | #54+0.013 |
Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.
The roster and the staff
TPi+#120-11.2
Recruiting#105-6.6
Returning#137-22.5
247 talent#120549.3
Head coach#90-4.0
What other systems say
Composite#116-12.9
SP+#118-12.0
SP+ off#125+16.1
SP+ def#87+28.5
ESPN FPI#115-12.9
The box-score view
Yards/G#117331.0
Yards/G allowed#92377.5
Pass yards/G#129155.0
Rush yards/G#49176.0
3rd down#8538.6%
3rd down allowed#5436.0%
Sacks/G#1051.5
Takeaways/G#831.1
Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.
Every game, with the model's read
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Projected | Win prob | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UAlbany | W 21–17 | Final | |||
| 2 | @ Florida International | L 20–33 | Final | |||
| 3 | @ Penn State | L 13–55 | Final | |||
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | W 31–28 | Final | |||
| 5 | vs Western Michigan | L 17–20 | Final | |||
| 6 | @ Toledo | W 23–8 | Final | |||
| 7 | vs Massachusetts | W 25–18 | Final | |||
| 8 | vs Bowling Green | W 31–24 | Final | |||
| 10 | @ Miami (OH) | — | ||||
| 11 | @ Ball State | — | ||||
| 12 | vs Central Michigan | — | ||||
| 13 | @ Akron | — | ||||
Unlock Buffalo’s remaining schedule
CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026












