Mid-American · 2026

Buffalo

5–3
CFPi+ rank#129of 138 FBS teams
-16.1CFPi+ rating
#90Best: Head coach
#127Weakest: Defense
4Games left
CFPi+ index

Where the team ranks

CFPi+#129-16.1
Offense#121+18.0
Defense#127+34.1
EPi+ efficiency index

How efficiently it plays

EPi+#109-10.0
Off EPi+#115-7.6
Def EPi+#90+2.4
Advanced stats

Offense and defense

StatOffenseDefense
Success rate#13335.8%#4139.1%
Explosiveness#90+1.210#61+1.219
Havoc rate#8815.7%#6516.1%
Pass PPA#120+0.043#89+0.227
Rush PPA#91+0.052#54+0.013

Raw season splits, not opponent-adjusted. Defense #1 is the stingiest in the country.

TPi+ talent index

The roster and the staff

TPi+#120-11.2
Recruiting#105-6.6
Returning#137-22.5
247 talent#120549.3
Head coach#90-4.0
National composite

What other systems say

Composite#116-12.9
SP+#118-12.0
SP+ off#125+16.1
SP+ def#87+28.5
ESPN FPI#115-12.9
Traditional stats

The box-score view

Yards/G#117331.0
Yards/G allowed#92377.5
Pass yards/G#129155.0
Rush yards/G#49176.0
3rd down#8538.6%
3rd down allowed#5436.0%
Sacks/G#1051.5
Takeaways/G#831.1

Ranks are national out of 138 FBS teams and #1 is best. The bar shows where a rank sits in the field; the rating is the source beneath it.

2026 schedule

Every game, with the model's read

WkOpponentResultProjectedWin probMarketEdge
1vsUAlbanyW 21–17Final
2@Florida InternationalL 20–33Final
3@Penn StateL 13–55Final
4vsRobert MorrisW 31–28Final
5vsWestern MichiganL 17–20Final
6@ToledoW 23–8Final
7vsMassachusettsW 25–18Final
8vsBowling GreenW 31–24Final
10@Miami (OH)—
11@Ball State—
12vsCentral Michigan—
13@Akron—

Unlock Buffalo’s remaining schedule

Try Premium
Week Pass
$9.99one week
Get the week
Most Popular
Premium Monthly
$19.99per month
Go monthly
Best Value
Season Pass
$49.99one-time
Get the Season Pass

CFPi-X V4.0 Selected · data vintage 10/26/2026